This is satire. Relax. It’s the sequel to this article: Day One as Energy Advisor to the European Commission
Imagine that the US Government, hires me as their special advisor on energy policy because … they hire the best 😉
Day 1 — Hour 1 — Minute 1
Mr. Trump,
The Europeans have shown you very little respect. Their media, their institutions, their member states — all of them have spent years trying to undermine your mandate. They accuse you of being “anti-transatlantic”, but perhaps they should take a long look in the mirror. From where you stand, it sometimes looks like a coordinated European campaign against a president who simply wants to make America great again.
So perhaps it is time to offer them a short lesson in geopolitics.
A reminder of who actually holds the strongest hand at the poker table.
Imagine the following scenario.
Iran keeps hitting the oil infrastructure of the Gulf states — refineries, export terminals, maybe a few key pipelines. Not enough to destroy everything, just enough to keep markets nervous.
At the same time, Tehran maintains a tight blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. No tankers pass through that narrow, godforsaken chokepoint.
Meanwhile, Russia shuts down its remaining pipelines to Europe and redirects its exports elsewhere.
And then — by some unfortunate coincidence — a large vessel runs aground in the Suez Canal, blocking traffic for a couple of weeks.
Finally, a few well-positioned American investment funds begin taking very large positions in the oil market. Prices climb. And climb. And climb again — until crude reaches $200 per barrel.
And then the real clock starts ticking.
Europe’s strategic oil reserves begin to drain. Thirty days. Maybe forty.
China isn’t much more comfortable either.
Within forty-five days, both Europe and China would suddenly rediscover a basic truth of geopolitics:
who still holds the decisive leverage in the global system.
And they might even learn the name of their new master.
The United States of America.
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